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Diabetes Care, Vol 21, Issue 8 1236-1239, Copyright © 1998 by American Diabetes Association
Isolated postchallenge hyperglycemia and the risk of fatal cardiovascular disease in older women and men. The Rancho Bernardo Study
E Barrett-Connor and A Ferrara
Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla 92093-0607, USA. ebarrettconnor@ucsd.edu
OBJECTIVE: To determine whether diabetes defined by isolated postchallenge
hyperglycemia (IPH) (2-h postchallenge plasma glucose > or = 11.1 mmol/l
with fasting plasma glucose [FPG] < 7.0 mmol/l) increases the risk of
fatal cardiovascular disease (CVD) in older women and men. RESEARCH DESIGN
AND METHODS: In a prospective study, we followed 769 men and 1,089 women,
aged 50-89 years, who had no history of diabetes or myocardial infarction
and demonstrated no fasting hyperglycemia (i.e., FPG < 7.0 mmol/l) when
they underwent oral glucose tolerance testing at baseline in 1984-1987.
RESULTS: At baseline, 70% of 125 women and 48% of 133 men with previously
undiagnosed diabetes had IPH. Over the next 7 years, women with IPH had a
significantly increased risk of fatal CVD and heart disease compared with
nondiabetic women. This increased risk was not observed in men with IPH.
This association was independent of age, hypertension, central obesity,
cigarette smoking, HDL cholesterol, and triglycerides (multiply adjusted
hazard ratio and 95% CI: 2.6 and 1.4-4.7 for CVD; 2.9 and 1.3-6.4 for heart
disease). CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes defined by IPH alone is common in older
adults and more than doubles the risk of fatal CVD and heart disease in
older women. Because the prevalence of IPH increases with age, the use of
fasting glucose alone for diabetes screening or diagnosis may fail to
identify most older adults at high risk for CVD and should be reevaluated.

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