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Diabetes Care, Vol 22, Issue 1 86-92, Copyright © 1999 by American Diabetes Association
Hyperinsulinemia cluster predicts the development of type 2 diabetes independently of family history of diabetes
P Kekalainen, H Sarlund, K Pyorala and M Laakso
Department of Medicine, Kuopio University Hospital, Finland. pkekalai@messi.uku.fi
OBJECTIVE: The aim of this prospective study was to determine risk factor
clusters predicting type 2 diabetes in subjects with and without family
history of diabetes by applying factor analyses. RESEARCH DESIGN AND
METHODS: The study population consisted of 309 siblings of diabetic (DM+)
or nondiabetic (DM-) probands. Risk factors, including lipids,
lipoproteins, blood pressure, and glucose tolerance status, were measured
at the baseline study and 8 years later. RESULTS: Siblings in the DM+ group
had a significantly higher risk of diabetes (odds ratio [OR] = 3.25; P =
0.002) than siblings in the DM- group. Altogether, factor analyses revealed
four significant factors in both the DM+ and DM- groups (the percentage of
cumulative variance explained 62-66%). Of these, factor 1 (percentage of
variance, 27-29%) was characterized by high loadings for BMI, hypertension,
glucose area, insulin area (the highest loading), and triglycerides in both
the DM+ and DM- groups; therefore, factor 1 can be interpreted as a
hyperinsulinemia factor. Also, other factors were essentially similar in
both groups. Hyperinsulinemia factor was similarly associated with the risk
of developing diabetes in the DM+ group (OR = 4.33, 95% CI 2.29-8.19; P
< 0.001) and the DM- group (OR = 4.22, 95% CI 2.02-8.81; P < 0.001)
in logistic regression analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that a
cluster of cardiovascular risk factors around hyperinsulinemia is an
important predictor of diabetes in 8-year follow-up independent of family
history of diabetes.

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Copyright © 1999 by the American Diabetes Association.
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